What if Australia’s property market is moving through a much bigger cycle than most investors realise?

In this episode of The Urban Property Investor, we break down the 18-year property cycle and what it could mean for Australian property from 2027 to 2045.

We look at how previous cycles have moved through recalibration, recovery, growth and speculation, and why cities like Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth can perform at different stages.

We cover:

• The four phases of the 18-year property cycle

• How previous Australian property cycles have played out

• Why growth can move from one city to another

• What the 2027–2045 cycle could look like

• The “migration of money” between markets

• Why long-term strategy matters more than short-term forecasts

The 18-year cycle isn’t a guarantee — it’s a framework for understanding where markets may be heading and how investors can think more strategically about timing, location and opportunity.

I discuss – 

00:00 Introduction to the 18-Year Property Cycle

02:29 The Macro Cycle: Decline, Recession, Growth, Hyper Growth

05:21 Economic Principles Driving the Cycle

06:20 Impact of Industrial Revolutions on Property Markets

07:45 Changing Job Markets and Productivity

08:46 The Next 18-Year Cycle and AI Revolution

10:14 Phases of the Property Cycle and Market Behaviour

12:19 Historical Data: 1989 to 2007 Cycle

16:11 Predicting Future Market Values and Land Prices

17:33 Intergenerational Wealth Transfer and Its Impact

18:28 Analysing Past Cycles for Future Insights

20:19 Growth Models and Investment Strategies

22:15 The Similarities Between Past Cycles

23:40 Speculation and the Ripple Effect

26:33 Land Speculation and Market Timing

27:25 Buying Opportunities During Flat Years

28:25 The Lead of Sydney and Melbourne in Growth

29:22 The Perth Boom and Final Stage of the Cycle

30:45 The Migration of Money and Portfolio Building

31:14 Practical Investment Strategies Based on Cycles

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Take care, 

Sam